Environmental · energy

Solar PV Estimator

Roughly how much energy will a solar array make over a year, where you are?
E = A · η · H · PR
London

System

size it up
4.0 kWp
20%
35°
0.80
$0.28/kWh
$8,000

Monthly generation

drag a bar to read its month ·
monthly output (kWh) summer peak climate-average estimate
Results
System detail
Economics

Does it pay for itself?

rough estimate — assumes you use or bank every kWh at the price above
Relationships

What drives the yield

cyan markers track your current system
Field notes

How a yield estimate is built

Using this tool

From panel size to annual kWh

Solar output comes down to one relation: Energy = Array size × Efficiency × Sunlight × Performance ratio. The array and panel efficiency are yours to set; sunlight (irradiation) comes from long-run climate averages for the chosen location; the performance ratio folds in the everyday losses — heat, wiring, inverter conversion, dust — that keep a real system below its theoretical maximum.

Worked example

A 6 kW residential array in a sunny climate might see 5.5 peak-sun-hours a day. At a typical 80% performance ratio, that's roughly 6 × 5.5 × 0.8 ≈ 26 kWh a day — about 9,600 kWh a year, before accounting for winter/summer swing or shading.

Why does tilt and orientation matter so much?

Panels generate the most power when sunlight hits them close to perpendicular. A due-south array (in the northern hemisphere) tilted near the local latitude catches the most sun over a year; east/west-facing or flat arrays trade some annual total for a flatter output curve across the day.

What is a performance ratio, really?

The fraction of a system's theoretical output it actually delivers once every real-world loss is accounted for — heat derating, wiring resistance, inverter conversion, soiling, and small mismatches between panels. A well-installed system typically lands around 75–85%.

Why might my real system output differ from this estimate?

This tool uses baked-in long-run climate averages, not live weather, satellite imagery, or site-specific shading. A tree, a chimney, or an unusually cloudy year can shift real output meaningfully above or below the estimate — which is exactly why installers run a proper site survey before quoting.

How does location affect the numbers?

Mostly through irradiation — how much sunlight a location receives on average — and secondarily through temperature, since panel efficiency drops slightly as they heat up. Two identically sized systems in different climates can have meaningfully different annual yields.

Results are for reference only. These are estimates from climate averages, not a site survey — get a professional assessment before buying or sizing a real system.