A circlip’s rated thrust load is set by the shaft or bore groove wall shearing out, almost never by the ring itself breaking.
The ring only has to resist expanding or contracting; the groove wall has to resist being sheared clean off by the ring’s edge. Undersized or soft-material grooves are the real weak point in most retaining-ring failures.
Estimate with the rule, then check it against the calculator that models it properly.
Open Circlip Calculator →